Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.163522 0.191117 0.221428 0.257122 0.297931 0.343057 0.396656
2025-12-21 0.114086 0.150384 0.194622 0.252162 0.324640 0.412487 0.526562
2025-12-28 0.090432 0.130429 0.183072 0.256668 0.356002 0.484398 0.661701
2026-01-04 0.076297 0.118559 0.177804 0.265616 0.390856 0.561150 0.807849
2026-01-11 0.065066 0.108043 0.171742 0.271096 0.419702 0.630697 0.948992
2026-01-18 0.055710 0.098343 0.164838 0.273457 0.443002 0.693154 1.084231
2026-01-25 0.047845 0.089461 0.157536 0.273592 0.461968 0.749778 1.214454
2026-02-01 0.040846 0.080730 0.149012 0.270242 0.474384 0.796613 1.332628
2026-02-08 0.034946 0.072866 0.140689 0.265838 0.484018 0.839075 1.446345
2026-02-15 0.029254 0.064371 0.129982 0.255763 0.482649 0.863027 1.531384
2026-02-22 0.027537 0.063308 0.132548 0.269423 0.523128 0.958637 1.740317
2026-03-01 0.023629 0.057101 0.124534 0.262517 0.526158 0.990735 1.844411
2026-03-08 0.020098 0.051148 0.116336 0.254517 0.526809 1.019497 1.946455
2026-03-15 0.017276 0.046269 0.109647 0.248681 0.530936 1.054785 2.062842
2026-03-22 0.015701 0.044001 0.108112 0.253051 0.555029 1.127952 2.252093
2026-03-29 0.014642 0.042795 0.108705 0.261878 0.588643 1.221083 2.483980
2026-04-05 0.013452 0.041034 0.107790 0.267289 0.615682 1.303496 2.701077
2026-04-12 0.012200 0.038869 0.105622 0.269620 0.636402 1.374960 2.901766
2026-04-19 0.010970 0.036519 0.102666 0.269753 0.652310 1.437808 3.089467
2026-04-26 0.009710 0.033825 0.098463 0.266445 0.660323 1.485185 3.249554
2026-05-03 0.008557 0.031204 0.094059 0.262097 0.665514 1.526957 3.400825
2026-05-10 0.007316 0.028032 0.087712 0.252151 0.656931 1.539219 3.492664
2026-05-17 0.007121 0.028209 0.090503 0.265636 0.703964 1.672436 3.841841